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Free cheat sheet · Sunday, October 11

TheEdge Top Plays

Tonight's strongest posted picks by our model's win probability — every one graded against the box score after the game, in public.

✓ Every pick graded in public · 62.1% on 54,695 picks
Updated · 8 rows · NHL · tap any row to open it in TheEdge
All · 40NFL · 10MLB · 15NBA · 7NHL · 8
PlayerBetModelPicks at this tierL10Play on
David Jiricek
NHL · PHI vs CAR ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points
Model
66% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
90% 9/10
Play on
Underdog · Sleeper · Dabble · ParlayPlay
Jaccob Slavin
NHL · CAR @ PHI ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points
Model
65% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
70% 7/10
Play on
ParlayPlay
Elias N. Pettersson
NHL · VAN @ NYR ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points
Model
64% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
80% 8/10
Play on
Underdog · Dabble
Sean Walker
NHL · CAR @ PHI ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points
Model
64% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
80% 8/10
Play on
Underdog · Dabble · ParlayPlay
Elias N. Pettersson
NHL · VAN @ NYR ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Shots on Goal
Model
63% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
70% 7/10
Play on
Underdog · Dabble
Adam Fox
NHL · NYR vs VAN ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Points
Model
63% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
60% 6/10
Play on
PrizePicks · Underdog · Sleeper · Dabble · ParlayPlay
Mika Zibanejad
NHL · NYR vs VAN ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Points
Model
63% STRONG
Tier record
63.8% on 8,694
L10
50% 5/10
Play on
PrizePicks · Underdog · Sleeper · ParlayPlay
Taylor Hall
NHL · CAR @ PHI ·
Bet
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal
Model
62% GOOD
Tier record
58% on 54,779
L10
80% 8/10
Play on
PrizePicks · Underdog · Sleeper · Dabble · ParlayPlay

How we pick these

These are tonight's posted props where our model's win probability is highest. Every pick the model publishes is graded against the official box score after the game — wins, losses, pushes and voids — and the record is public on our Record page, by sport and by tier.

The tier record next to each pick is how picks at that confidence level have actually done, not a promise about this one. A 70% pick still loses three times in ten.

FAQ

What does the model % mean?

It's the model's calibrated chance this side clears the line — corrected against how our past picks at that number actually hit.

Why only posted picks?

A pick you can't find on an app is not a pick. Every row here is posted on at least one app or book tonight.