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Free cheat sheet · Sunday, October 11

Prop Streaks

Players clearing — or dying under — their current posted line at extreme rates. Ranked by recent hit rate, with the active run and our model's read beside it.

✓ Every pick graded in public · 62.1% on 54,695 picks
Updated · 51 rows · tap any row to open it in TheEdge
All · 51MLB · 24NFL · 15NHL · 12
PlayerBetLast 10RunL10L20ModelPrice
Enrique Hernández
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Batter Walks COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
11
L10
100%
L20
85%
Model
89%
Price
-394 DraftKings
Teoscar Hernández
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Batter Walks COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
13
L10
100%
L20
75%
Model
70%
Price
-386 Courtside
Shohei Ohtani
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 RBIs COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
7
L10
90%
L20
95%
Model
69%
Price
-250 Dabble
Shohei Ohtani
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Total Bases COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
7
L10
90%
L20
85%
Model
67%
Price
-245 Kalshi
Shohei Ohtani
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
7
L10
90%
L20
85%
Model
63%
Price
—
Tyler Huntley
NFL · BAL @ ATL ·
Bet
Under 27.5 Pass Attempts COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
7
L10
90%
L20
83%
Model
68%
Price
-111 Novig
Jamie Drysdale
NHL · PHI vs CAR ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
8
L10
90%
L20
75%
Model
63%
Price
+100 Pick6
Joey Ortiz
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 0.5 RBIs COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
5
L10
90%
L20
85%
Model
77%
Price
-357 Dabble
Max Muncy
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Batter Walks CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
4
L10
90%
L20
90%
Model
67%
Price
-225 Hard Rock
Brian Robinson Jr.
NFL · ATL vs BAL ·
Bet
Under 14.5 Rec Yds CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
2
L10
90%
L20
95%
Model
97%
Price
—
Will Smith
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Batter Walks COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
6
L10
90%
L20
70%
Model
67%
Price
-194 Courtside
Olamide Zaccheaus
NFL · ATL vs BAL ·
Bet
Under 11.5 Rec Yds COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
7
L10
90%
L20
65%
Model
62%
Price
—
Enrique Hernández
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Singles COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
5
L10
90%
L20
75%
Model
72%
Price
-190 theScore Bet
Cooper Pratt
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 0.5 RBIs COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
7
L10
80%
L20
80%
Model
73%
Price
-335 Polymarket
Sione Vaki
NFL · DET @ ARI ·
Bet
Under 8.5 Rush Yds CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
1
L10
90%
L20
93%
Model
68%
Price
+104 Dabble
Noah Cates
NHL · PHI vs CAR ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
8
L10
80%
L20
75%
Model
63%
Price
+100 Pick6
George Holani
NFL · SEA vs SF ·
Bet
Under 31.5 Rush+Rec Yds CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
1
L10
90%
L20
88%
Model
68%
Price
+100 Dabble
David Jiricek
NHL · PHI vs CAR ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
0
L10
90%
L20
95%
Model
66%
Price
+100 Pick6
Kyle Tucker
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 RBIs CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
3
L10
90%
L20
75%
Model
74%
Price
-357 Dabble
Christian Yelich
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs HEATER
Last 10
Run
5
L10
80%
L20
85%
Model
66%
Price
+100 Pick6
Boone Jenner
NHL · WSH vs SEA ·
Bet
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal HEATER
Last 10
Run
5
L10
90%
L20
60%
Model
61%
Price
+126 Dabble
Brice Turang
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Hits COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
6
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
78%
Price
Dabble 0.5
Jake Bauers
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 0.5 RBIs COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
6
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
69%
Price
-294 Dabble
Vince Dunn
NHL · SEA @ WSH ·
Bet
Under 2.5 Shots on Goal COLD FADE
Last 10
Run
6
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
63%
Price
—
Kyle Tucker
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Hits HEATER
Last 10
Run
6
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
56%
Price
+113 Polymarket
Max Muncy
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Singles CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
4
L10
80%
L20
80%
Model
71%
Price
-261 Courtside
Michael Penix Jr.
NFL · ATL vs BAL ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Pass TDs CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
4
L10
80%
L20
82%
Model
69%
Price
-127 Polymarket
Vincent Desharnais
NHL · WSH vs SEA ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
0
L10
90%
L20
80%
Model
65%
Price
+100 Pick6
Emanuel Wilson
NFL · SEA vs SF ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Receptions CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
0
L10
90%
L20
80%
Model
65%
Price
+135 Betway
Elias N. Pettersson
NHL · VAN @ NYR ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Points CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
3
L10
80%
L20
85%
Model
64%
Price
+110 Dabble
Emanuel Wilson
NFL · SEA vs SF ·
Bet
Under 12.5 Rec Yds CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
0
L10
90%
L20
80%
Model
64%
Price
+100 Pick6
Taylor Hall
NHL · CAR @ PHI ·
Bet
Over 1.5 Shots on Goal CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
4
L10
80%
L20
80%
Model
62%
Price
+100 Pick6
Jackson Chourio
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Hits CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
4
L10
80%
L20
75%
Model
73%
Price
PrizePicks 0.5
Garrett Mitchell
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Total Bases CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
0
L10
90%
L20
75%
Model
70%
Price
-355 Novig
George Holani
NFL · SEA vs SF ·
Bet
Under 18.5 Rush Yds CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
3
L10
80%
L20
82%
Model
68%
Price
+102 Dabble
Jackson Blake
NHL · CAR @ PHI ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Points HEATER
Last 10
Run
5
L10
80%
L20
65%
Model
59%
Price
+100 Pick6
Kendrick Bourne
NFL · ARI vs DET ·
Bet
Under 2.5 Receptions CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
3
L10
80%
L20
75%
Model
50%
Price
Underdog 3.5
Kyle Tucker
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Total Bases
Last 10
Run
3
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
72%
Price
-335 Novig
Freddie Freeman
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Under 0.5 Batter Walks CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
1
L10
80%
L20
80%
Model
65%
Price
-225 Fanatics
George Holani
NFL · SEA vs SF ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Receptions CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
1
L10
80%
L20
82%
Model
62%
Price
+120 Dabble
George Holani
NFL · SEA vs SF ·
Bet
Under 8.5 Rec Yds CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
1
L10
80%
L20
82%
Model
58%
Price
+100 Pick6
Jake Bauers
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Total Bases
Last 10
Run
3
L10
80%
L20
65%
Model
67%
Price
-285 Novig
Jared Goff
NFL · DET @ ARI ·
Bet
Over 24.5 Completions HEATER
Last 10
Run
5
L10
80%
L20
55%
Model
57%
Price
-104 Novig
William Contreras
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Hits CONSISTENT
Last 10
Run
0
L10
80%
L20
80%
Model
77%
Price
Dabble 0.5
Jacob Misiorowski
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
Bet
Under 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Last 10
Run
4
L10
80%
L20
50%
Model
53%
Price
+100 Pick6
Derrick Henry
NFL · BAL @ ATL ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Receptions
Last 10
Run
0
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
67%
Price
-182 Novig
Freddie Freeman
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Batter Strikeouts
Last 10
Run
0
L10
80%
L20
70%
Model
65%
Price
PrizePicks
Tom Wilson
NHL · WSH vs SEA ·
Bet
Over 0.5 Points
Last 10
Run
2
L10
80%
L20
60%
Model
61%
Price
+100 Pick6
K'Andre Miller
NHL · CAR @ PHI ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Shots on Goal
Last 10
Run
0
L10
80%
L20
65%
Model
60%
Price
+100 Pick6
Christian McCaffrey
NFL · SF @ SEA ·
Bet
Under 42.5 Rec Yds
Last 10
Run
2
L10
80%
L20
50%
Model
55%
Price
—
Matty Beniers
NHL · SEA @ WSH ·
Bet
Under 1.5 Shots on Goal
Last 10
Run
0
L10
80%
L20
55%
Model
52%
Price
+100 Pick6

How to use prop streaks

The simplest prop angle there is: players who keep clearing (or keep missing) the number they are posted at tonight. When a receiver has cleared his line in nine of his last ten, either the market is slow to reprice his role, or the run is luck about to cool off — telling those apart is the whole game.

That's why the model column is there. Our model already knows the streak and adjusts for runs that outpace a player's season — when it still agrees with the streak, the streak has support.

FAQ

What do HEATER and COLD FADE mean?

HEATER = 5+ straight games over the line. COLD FADE = 5+ straight under. CONSISTENT = 75%+ over the last 20.

Do streaks predict the next game?

On their own, not much — recent form alone tested as noise on our graded picks. Streaks are a screener: confirm the role, the matchup and the price.