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Free cheat sheet · Sunday, October 11

Demons & Goblins

PrizePicks' alternate lines — goblins (easier, pay less) and demons (harder, pay more) — More only, with our model's read against what each one needs to break even.

✓ Every pick graded in public · 62.1% on 54,695 picks
Updated · 2 rows · NFL · tap any row to open it in TheEdge
All · 12NHL · 6MLB · 4NFL · 2
PlayerMoreTypeModelNeedsEdge
Olamide Zaccheaus
NFL · ATL vs BAL ·
More
More 0.5 Receptions
Type
goblin
Model
68%
Needs
62%
Edge
+6
Mark Andrews
NFL · BAL @ ATL ·
More
More 2.5 Receptions
Type
goblin
Model
68%
Needs
62%
Edge
+6

Goblins, demons and break-even

PrizePicks posts alternate lines next to the standard one. Goblins are easier numbers that pay less; demons are harder numbers that pay more. Both are More only.

Because the payout changes, so does what a leg needs to win to break even. We put the model's read at each alternate next to that bar — the edge column is how far above (or below) it the model sits.

FAQ

Can I take the Less on a goblin?

No — PrizePicks only offers More on goblins and demons.

Where does the break-even come from?

From the app's payout for that kind of line: about 54% for a standard flat-pay leg, higher for goblins.