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Free cheat sheet · Sunday, October 11

Demons & Goblins

PrizePicks' alternate lines — goblins (easier, pay less) and demons (harder, pay more) — More only, with our model's read against what each one needs to break even.

✓ Every pick graded in public · 62.1% on 54,695 picks
Updated · 4 rows · MLB · tap any row to open it in TheEdge
All · 12NHL · 6MLB · 4NFL · 2
PlayerMoreTypeModelNeedsEdge
Tarik Skubal
MLB · LAD @ MIL ·
More
More 3.5 Hits Allowed
Type
goblin
Model
70%
Needs
62%
Edge
+8
Jackson Chourio
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
More
More 0.5 Hits
Type
goblin
Model
69%
Needs
62%
Edge
+7
Jackson Chourio
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
More
More 0.5 Total Bases
Type
goblin
Model
68%
Needs
62%
Edge
+6
Jacob Misiorowski
MLB · MIL vs LAD ·
More
More 0.5 Earned Runs
Type
goblin
Model
67%
Needs
62%
Edge
+5

Goblins, demons and break-even

PrizePicks posts alternate lines next to the standard one. Goblins are easier numbers that pay less; demons are harder numbers that pay more. Both are More only.

Because the payout changes, so does what a leg needs to win to break even. We put the model's read at each alternate next to that bar — the edge column is how far above (or below) it the model sits.

FAQ

Can I take the Less on a goblin?

No — PrizePicks only offers More on goblins and demons.

Where does the break-even come from?

From the app's payout for that kind of line: about 54% for a standard flat-pay leg, higher for goblins.